2–3 Sept 2023
Bertam Resort WaterPark, Pulau Pinang
Asia/Kuala_Lumpur timezone

Predictive Linear Regression Model for Mechanical Vibrations in a 187 MW Gas-Turbine Generator Operating Under Combined Cycle

Not scheduled
20m
Bertam Resort WaterPark, Pulau Pinang

Bertam Resort WaterPark, Pulau Pinang

Applied Mechanics and Design

Speaker

Mr Ahmed Abed (American International University (AIU)/ Kuwait)

Description

Abstract

A power generating unit's fundamental component is a gas turbine (GT), consisting of a compressor, a turbine, and a generator to convert thermal energy into electrical energy. The rotating turbine is prone to high vibrations, potentially leading to failures. Numerous studies have reported various simulation techniques, including MATLAB, Pro-Engineering, and CFD to develop mathematical models and simulators of GT components. These models typically focus on specific physical parameters such as temperature, pressure, rotational speed, and load variations. Despite extensive researches, gaps remain in understanding the relationship between mechanical vibrations in GT generators and their underlying causes. This study addresses these gaps using statistical analysis and data mining techniques on a large dataset of mechanical vibrations from GT components in a thermal power unit. Data mining techniques were employed to create mechanical vibration velocity models, linking various operational parameters and conditions: vibration velocities and amplitudes on the GT power unit main components (compressor, turbine, and generator). Linear Regression algorithm in WEKA software was used to construct two linear models for the mechanical vibration velocity of the GT generator’s support bearings. The models demonstrated correlations of 99% and 92%, respectively, for the front and rear support bearings. Validation using a supplied test set of case study data confirmed an accuracy rate of 99% for both models. Ultimately, these predictive mechanical vibration models pave the way for more effective maintenance practices and improved turbine reliability in power generation.

Keywords

Data Mining, Gas-Turbine, Linear regression, Statistical analysis, Vibration.

Primary authors

Mr Ahmed Abed (American International University (AIU)/ Kuwait) Dr Wei Ping Loh (Universiti Sains Malaysia)

Presentation materials

Peer reviewing

Paper